Bridge Builder Trust Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.44

BBTSX Fund   13.25  0.11  0.82%   
Bridge Builder's future price is the expected price of Bridge Builder instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bridge Builder Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bridge Builder Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Bridge Builder Correlation, Bridge Builder Hype Analysis, Bridge Builder Volatility, Bridge Builder History as well as Bridge Builder Performance.
  
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Bridge Builder Target Price Odds to finish over 14.44

The tendency of Bridge Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  14.44  or more in 90 days
 13.25 90 days 14.44 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bridge Builder to move over  14.44  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bridge Builder Trust probability density function shows the probability of Bridge Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bridge Builder Trust price to stay between its current price of  13.25  and  14.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.65 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.1 suggesting Bridge Builder Trust market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bridge Builder is expected to follow. Additionally Bridge Builder Trust has an alpha of 0.0191, implying that it can generate a 0.0191 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bridge Builder Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bridge Builder

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bridge Builder Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bridge Builder's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2813.1714.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3713.1013.84
Details

Bridge Builder Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bridge Builder is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bridge Builder's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bridge Builder Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bridge Builder within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Bridge Builder Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bridge Builder for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bridge Builder Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Bridge Builder Technical Analysis

Bridge Builder's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bridge Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bridge Builder Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bridge Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bridge Builder Predictive Forecast Models

Bridge Builder's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bridge Builder's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bridge Builder's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bridge Builder Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bridge Builder for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bridge Builder Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Bridge Mutual Fund

Bridge Builder financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bridge Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bridge with respect to the benefits of owning Bridge Builder security.
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