Bowler Metcalf (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1369.0

BCF Stock   1,300  34.00  2.55%   
Bowler Metcalf's future price is the expected price of Bowler Metcalf instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bowler Metcalf performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bowler Metcalf Backtesting, Bowler Metcalf Valuation, Bowler Metcalf Correlation, Bowler Metcalf Hype Analysis, Bowler Metcalf Volatility, Bowler Metcalf History as well as Bowler Metcalf Performance.
  
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Bowler Metcalf Target Price Odds to finish over 1369.0

The tendency of Bowler Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1,369  or more in 90 days
 1,300 90 days 1,369 
about 13.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bowler Metcalf to move over  1,369  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.64 (This Bowler Metcalf probability density function shows the probability of Bowler Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bowler Metcalf price to stay between its current price of  1,300  and  1,369  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bowler Metcalf has a beta of -1.03 suggesting Additionally Bowler Metcalf has an alpha of 0.0426, implying that it can generate a 0.0426 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bowler Metcalf Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bowler Metcalf

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bowler Metcalf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2971,3001,303
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0871,0901,430
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,2931,2971,300
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2571,3281,398
Details

Bowler Metcalf Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bowler Metcalf is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bowler Metcalf's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bowler Metcalf, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bowler Metcalf within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.03
σ
Overall volatility
54.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Bowler Metcalf Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bowler Metcalf for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bowler Metcalf can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bowler Metcalf had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bowler Metcalf generates negative cash flow from operations
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bowler Metcalf Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bowler Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bowler Metcalf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bowler Metcalf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments180.9 M

Bowler Metcalf Technical Analysis

Bowler Metcalf's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bowler Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bowler Metcalf. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bowler Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bowler Metcalf Predictive Forecast Models

Bowler Metcalf's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bowler Metcalf's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bowler Metcalf's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bowler Metcalf

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bowler Metcalf for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bowler Metcalf help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bowler Metcalf had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bowler Metcalf generates negative cash flow from operations
About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bowler Stock

Bowler Metcalf financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bowler Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bowler with respect to the benefits of owning Bowler Metcalf security.