Burckhardt Compression (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 494.65

BCHN Stock  CHF 652.00  11.00  1.66%   
Burckhardt Compression's future price is the expected price of Burckhardt Compression instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Burckhardt Compression performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Burckhardt Compression Backtesting, Burckhardt Compression Valuation, Burckhardt Compression Correlation, Burckhardt Compression Hype Analysis, Burckhardt Compression Volatility, Burckhardt Compression History as well as Burckhardt Compression Performance.
  
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Burckhardt Compression Target Price Odds to finish below 494.65

The tendency of Burckhardt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 494.65  or more in 90 days
 652.00 90 days 494.65 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Burckhardt Compression to drop to ₣ 494.65  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Burckhardt Compression probability density function shows the probability of Burckhardt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Burckhardt Compression price to stay between ₣ 494.65  and its current price of ₣652.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Burckhardt Compression has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Burckhardt Compression are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Burckhardt Compression is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Burckhardt Compression has an alpha of 0.1626, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Burckhardt Compression Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Burckhardt Compression

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Burckhardt Compression. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
650.62652.00653.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
549.24550.62717.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
650.18651.56652.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
632.13653.57675.01
Details

Burckhardt Compression Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Burckhardt Compression is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Burckhardt Compression's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Burckhardt Compression, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Burckhardt Compression within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
27.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Burckhardt Compression Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Burckhardt Compression for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Burckhardt Compression can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Burckhardt Compression Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Burckhardt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Burckhardt Compression's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burckhardt Compression's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments101 M

Burckhardt Compression Technical Analysis

Burckhardt Compression's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Burckhardt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Burckhardt Compression. In general, you should focus on analyzing Burckhardt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Burckhardt Compression Predictive Forecast Models

Burckhardt Compression's time-series forecasting models is one of many Burckhardt Compression's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Burckhardt Compression's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Burckhardt Compression

Checking the ongoing alerts about Burckhardt Compression for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Burckhardt Compression help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Burckhardt Stock Analysis

When running Burckhardt Compression's price analysis, check to measure Burckhardt Compression's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burckhardt Compression is operating at the current time. Most of Burckhardt Compression's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burckhardt Compression's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burckhardt Compression's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burckhardt Compression to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.