Birchtech Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.63
| BCHT Stock | 0.95 0.08 9.20% |
Birchtech |
Birchtech Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 4.63
The tendency of Birchtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.63 or more in 90 days |
| 0.95 | 90 days | 4.63 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Birchtech Corp to move over 4.63 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Birchtech Corp probability density function shows the probability of Birchtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Birchtech Corp price to stay between its current price of 0.95 and 4.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Birchtech Corp has a beta of 0.62 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Birchtech Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Birchtech Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Birchtech Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Birchtech Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Birchtech Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Birchtech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Birchtech Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Birchtech Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Birchtech Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Birchtech Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Birchtech Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Birchtech Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Birchtech Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Birchtech Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Birchtech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birchtech Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Birchtech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchtech Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results - Yahoo Finance |
Birchtech Corp Technical Analysis
Birchtech Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Birchtech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Birchtech Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Birchtech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Birchtech Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Birchtech Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Birchtech Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Birchtech Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Birchtech Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Birchtech Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Birchtech Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Birchtech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birchtech Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Birchtech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchtech Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in Birchtech Stock
Birchtech Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birchtech Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birchtech with respect to the benefits of owning Birchtech Corp security.