Banco De (Chile) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22889.91

BCI Stock  CLP 27,800  150.00  0.54%   
Banco De's future price is the expected price of Banco De instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco de Credito performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banco De Backtesting, Banco De Valuation, Banco De Correlation, Banco De Hype Analysis, Banco De Volatility, Banco De History as well as Banco De Performance.
  
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Banco De Target Price Odds to finish over 22889.91

The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  22,890  in 90 days
 27,800 90 days 22,890 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco De to stay above  22,890  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Banco de Credito probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco de Credito price to stay between  22,890  and its current price of 27800.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco De has a beta of 0.0485 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Banco De average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Banco de Credito will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Banco de Credito has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Banco De Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco de Credito. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27,79927,80027,801
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24,01124,01230,580
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28,50528,50728,508
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27,61027,92128,233
Details

Banco De Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco de Credito, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0093
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
492.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Banco De Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco de Credito can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco de Credito generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Banco De Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding155.9 M

Banco De Technical Analysis

Banco De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco de Credito. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco De Predictive Forecast Models

Banco De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco De's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banco de Credito

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco de Credito help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Banco de Credito generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Banco Stock

Banco De financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banco with respect to the benefits of owning Banco De security.