Baird E Plus Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.58

BCOIX Fund  USD 10.20  0.02  0.20%   
Baird Core's future price is the expected price of Baird Core instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baird E Plus performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baird Core Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Baird Core Correlation, Baird Core Hype Analysis, Baird Core Volatility, Baird Core History as well as Baird Core Performance.
  
Please specify Baird Core's target price for which you would like Baird Core odds to be computed.

Baird Core Target Price Odds to finish below 9.58

The tendency of Baird Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.58  or more in 90 days
 10.20 90 days 9.58 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baird Core to drop to $ 9.58  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baird E Plus probability density function shows the probability of Baird Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baird E Plus price to stay between $ 9.58  and its current price of $10.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baird E Plus has a beta of -0.0242 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baird Core are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baird E Plus is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Baird E Plus has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Baird Core Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baird Core

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baird E Plus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9210.2010.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.589.8611.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9710.2510.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.1310.1710.22
Details

Baird Core Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baird Core is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baird Core's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baird E Plus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baird Core within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

Baird Core Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baird Core for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baird E Plus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baird E Plus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Baird E Plus holds about 92.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Baird Core Technical Analysis

Baird Core's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baird Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baird E Plus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baird Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baird Core Predictive Forecast Models

Baird Core's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baird Core's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baird Core's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baird E Plus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baird Core for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baird E Plus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baird E Plus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Baird E Plus holds about 92.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Baird Mutual Fund

Baird Core financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baird Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baird with respect to the benefits of owning Baird Core security.
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