Beo Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 70.84
| BEOB Stock | USD 75.10 1.59 2.07% |
BEO |
BEO Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 70.84
The tendency of BEO Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 70.84 or more in 90 days |
| 75.10 | 90 days | 70.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BEO Bancorp to drop to $ 70.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BEO Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of BEO Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BEO Bancorp price to stay between $ 70.84 and its current price of $75.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BEO Bancorp has a beta of 0.0128 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BEO Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BEO Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BEO Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BEO Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BEO Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BEO Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BEO Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BEO Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BEO Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BEO Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BEO Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
BEO Bancorp Technical Analysis
BEO Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BEO Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BEO Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing BEO Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BEO Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
BEO Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many BEO Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BEO Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BEO Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BEO Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BEO Bancorp options trading.
Other Information on Investing in BEO Pink Sheet
BEO Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether BEO Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BEO with respect to the benefits of owning BEO Bancorp security.