Bergman Beving (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 284.94

BERG-B Stock  SEK 292.50  3.50  1.18%   
Bergman Beving's future price is the expected price of Bergman Beving instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bergman Beving AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bergman Beving Backtesting, Bergman Beving Valuation, Bergman Beving Correlation, Bergman Beving Hype Analysis, Bergman Beving Volatility, Bergman Beving History as well as Bergman Beving Performance.
  
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Bergman Beving Target Price Odds to finish below 284.94

The tendency of Bergman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 284.94  or more in 90 days
 292.50 90 days 284.94 
about 22.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bergman Beving to drop to kr 284.94  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.38 (This Bergman Beving AB probability density function shows the probability of Bergman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bergman Beving AB price to stay between kr 284.94  and its current price of kr292.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bergman Beving AB has a beta of -0.39 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bergman Beving are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bergman Beving AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bergman Beving AB has an alpha of 0.0282, implying that it can generate a 0.0282 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bergman Beving Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bergman Beving

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bergman Beving AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
290.32292.50294.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
245.09247.27321.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
301.71303.88306.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
262.09283.00303.91
Details

Bergman Beving Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bergman Beving is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bergman Beving's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bergman Beving AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bergman Beving within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
14.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Bergman Beving Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bergman Beving for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bergman Beving AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bergman Beving Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bergman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bergman Beving's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bergman Beving's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments182 M

Bergman Beving Technical Analysis

Bergman Beving's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bergman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bergman Beving AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bergman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bergman Beving Predictive Forecast Models

Bergman Beving's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bergman Beving's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bergman Beving's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bergman Beving AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bergman Beving for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bergman Beving AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bergman Stock

Bergman Beving financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bergman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bergman with respect to the benefits of owning Bergman Beving security.