Be Semiconductor Industries Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 121.64
| BESIY Stock | USD 133.69 0.61 0.46% |
BESIY |
BE Semiconductor Target Price Odds to finish over 121.64
The tendency of BESIY Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 121.64 in 90 days |
| 133.69 | 90 days | 121.64 | about 37.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BE Semiconductor to stay above $ 121.64 in 90 days from now is about 37.04 (This BE Semiconductor Industries probability density function shows the probability of BESIY Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BE Semiconductor Ind price to stay between $ 121.64 and its current price of $133.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BE Semiconductor has a beta of 0.83 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BE Semiconductor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BE Semiconductor Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BE Semiconductor Industries has an alpha of 0.0445, implying that it can generate a 0.0445 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BE Semiconductor Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BE Semiconductor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BE Semiconductor Ind. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BE Semiconductor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BE Semiconductor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BE Semiconductor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BE Semiconductor Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BE Semiconductor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
BE Semiconductor Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BESIY Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BE Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BE Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78 M |
BE Semiconductor Technical Analysis
BE Semiconductor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BESIY Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BE Semiconductor Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing BESIY Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BE Semiconductor Predictive Forecast Models
BE Semiconductor's time-series forecasting models is one of many BE Semiconductor's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BE Semiconductor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BE Semiconductor in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BE Semiconductor's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BE Semiconductor options trading.
Additional Tools for BESIY Pink Sheet Analysis
When running BE Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure BE Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BE Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of BE Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BE Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BE Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BE Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.