Bhakti Multi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 432.95
| BHAT Stock | IDR 450.00 2.00 0.45% |
Bhakti |
Bhakti Multi Target Price Odds to finish below 432.95
The tendency of Bhakti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 432.95 or more in 90 days |
| 450.00 | 90 days | 432.95 | nearly 4.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bhakti Multi to drop to 432.95 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.24 (This Bhakti Multi Artha probability density function shows the probability of Bhakti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bhakti Multi Artha price to stay between 432.95 and its current price of 450.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bhakti Multi Artha has a beta of -0.0339 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bhakti Multi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bhakti Multi Artha is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bhakti Multi Artha has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bhakti Multi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bhakti Multi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bhakti Multi Artha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bhakti Multi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bhakti Multi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bhakti Multi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bhakti Multi Artha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bhakti Multi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 34.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Bhakti Multi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bhakti Multi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bhakti Multi Artha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bhakti Multi Artha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bhakti Multi Artha has accumulated about 276.38 B in cash with (1.04 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 55.28. |
Bhakti Multi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bhakti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bhakti Multi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bhakti Multi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.2 B |
Bhakti Multi Technical Analysis
Bhakti Multi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bhakti Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bhakti Multi Artha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bhakti Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bhakti Multi Predictive Forecast Models
Bhakti Multi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bhakti Multi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bhakti Multi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bhakti Multi Artha
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bhakti Multi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bhakti Multi Artha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bhakti Multi Artha generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bhakti Multi Artha has accumulated about 276.38 B in cash with (1.04 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 55.28. |
Other Information on Investing in Bhakti Stock
Bhakti Multi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bhakti Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bhakti with respect to the benefits of owning Bhakti Multi security.