Brikor (South Africa) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.84

BIK Stock   18.00  1.00  5.88%   
Brikor's future price is the expected price of Brikor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brikor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brikor Backtesting, Brikor Valuation, Brikor Correlation, Brikor Hype Analysis, Brikor Volatility, Brikor History as well as Brikor Performance.
  
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Brikor Target Price Odds to finish over 23.84

The tendency of Brikor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  23.84  or more in 90 days
 18.00 90 days 23.84 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brikor to move over  23.84  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brikor probability density function shows the probability of Brikor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brikor price to stay between its current price of  18.00  and  23.84  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.55 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Brikor will likely underperform. Additionally Brikor has an alpha of 0.1158, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Brikor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brikor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brikor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5418.0024.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8214.2820.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3618.8225.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3015.8617.41
Details

Brikor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brikor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brikor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brikor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brikor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.55
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Brikor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brikor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brikor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brikor is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Brikor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Brikor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brikor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brikor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brikor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding629.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.1 M

Brikor Technical Analysis

Brikor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brikor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brikor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brikor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brikor Predictive Forecast Models

Brikor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brikor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brikor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brikor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brikor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brikor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brikor is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Brikor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Brikor Stock

Brikor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brikor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brikor with respect to the benefits of owning Brikor security.