BIM Birlesik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 517.34
| BIMAS Stock | TRY 494.75 7.25 1.44% |
BIM |
BIM Birlesik Target Price Odds to finish below 517.34
The tendency of BIM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 517.34 after 90 days |
| 494.75 | 90 days | 517.34 | about 81.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BIM Birlesik to stay under 517.34 after 90 days from now is about 81.8 (This BIM Birlesik Magazalar probability density function shows the probability of BIM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BIM Birlesik Magazalar price to stay between its current price of 494.75 and 517.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BIM Birlesik has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BIM Birlesik average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BIM Birlesik Magazalar will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BIM Birlesik Magazalar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BIM Birlesik Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BIM Birlesik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BIM Birlesik Magazalar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BIM Birlesik's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BIM Birlesik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BIM Birlesik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BIM Birlesik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BIM Birlesik Magazalar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BIM Birlesik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 33.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
BIM Birlesik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BIM Birlesik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BIM Birlesik Magazalar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BIM Birlesik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BIM Birlesik Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BIM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BIM Birlesik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BIM Birlesik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 598.8 M |
BIM Birlesik Technical Analysis
BIM Birlesik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BIM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BIM Birlesik Magazalar. In general, you should focus on analyzing BIM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BIM Birlesik Predictive Forecast Models
BIM Birlesik's time-series forecasting models is one of many BIM Birlesik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BIM Birlesik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BIM Birlesik Magazalar
Checking the ongoing alerts about BIM Birlesik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BIM Birlesik Magazalar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BIM Birlesik generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BIM Stock
BIM Birlesik financial ratios help investors to determine whether BIM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BIM with respect to the benefits of owning BIM Birlesik security.