Bhuwanatala Indah (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.0

BIPP Stock  IDR 32.00  1.00  3.23%   
Bhuwanatala Indah's future price is the expected price of Bhuwanatala Indah instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bhuwanatala Indah Permai performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bhuwanatala Indah Backtesting, Bhuwanatala Indah Valuation, Bhuwanatala Indah Correlation, Bhuwanatala Indah Hype Analysis, Bhuwanatala Indah Volatility, Bhuwanatala Indah History as well as Bhuwanatala Indah Performance.
  
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Bhuwanatala Indah Target Price Odds to finish over 27.0

The tendency of Bhuwanatala Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  27.00  in 90 days
 32.00 90 days 27.00 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bhuwanatala Indah to stay above  27.00  in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Bhuwanatala Indah Permai probability density function shows the probability of Bhuwanatala Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bhuwanatala Indah Permai price to stay between  27.00  and its current price of 32.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bhuwanatala Indah has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bhuwanatala Indah average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bhuwanatala Indah Permai will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bhuwanatala Indah Permai has an alpha of 0.2713, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bhuwanatala Indah Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bhuwanatala Indah

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bhuwanatala Indah Permai. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9732.0035.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.5925.6235.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.8631.8934.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4231.6432.86
Details

Bhuwanatala Indah Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bhuwanatala Indah is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bhuwanatala Indah's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bhuwanatala Indah Permai, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bhuwanatala Indah within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Bhuwanatala Indah Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bhuwanatala Indah for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bhuwanatala Indah Permai can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bhuwanatala Indah had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bhuwanatala Indah has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 293.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.29 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.4 B.
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bhuwanatala Indah Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bhuwanatala Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bhuwanatala Indah's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bhuwanatala Indah's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments364.8 B

Bhuwanatala Indah Technical Analysis

Bhuwanatala Indah's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bhuwanatala Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bhuwanatala Indah Permai. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bhuwanatala Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bhuwanatala Indah Predictive Forecast Models

Bhuwanatala Indah's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bhuwanatala Indah's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bhuwanatala Indah's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bhuwanatala Indah Permai

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bhuwanatala Indah for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bhuwanatala Indah Permai help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bhuwanatala Indah had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bhuwanatala Indah has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 293.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (6.29 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.4 B.
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bhuwanatala Stock

Bhuwanatala Indah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bhuwanatala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bhuwanatala with respect to the benefits of owning Bhuwanatala Indah security.