Brandes International Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 17.04

BISAX Fund  USD 19.07  0.12  0.63%   
Brandes International's future price is the expected price of Brandes International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brandes International Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brandes International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Brandes International Correlation, Brandes International Hype Analysis, Brandes International Volatility, Brandes International History as well as Brandes International Performance.
  
Please specify Brandes International's target price for which you would like Brandes International odds to be computed.

Brandes International Target Price Odds to finish below 17.04

The tendency of Brandes Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 17.04  or more in 90 days
 19.07 90 days 17.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brandes International to drop to $ 17.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Brandes International Small probability density function shows the probability of Brandes Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brandes International price to stay between $ 17.04  and its current price of $19.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Brandes International has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brandes International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brandes International Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brandes International Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Brandes International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brandes International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brandes International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.5119.0719.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5119.0719.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8319.3919.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0319.1319.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Brandes International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Brandes International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Brandes International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Brandes International.

Brandes International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brandes International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brandes International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brandes International Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brandes International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0003
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Brandes International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brandes International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brandes International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.22% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Brandes International Technical Analysis

Brandes International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brandes Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brandes International Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brandes Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brandes International Predictive Forecast Models

Brandes International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brandes International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brandes International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brandes International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brandes International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brandes International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 99.22% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Brandes Mutual Fund

Brandes International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brandes Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brandes with respect to the benefits of owning Brandes International security.
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