Bittium Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.36

BITTI Stock  EUR 6.60  0.26  3.79%   
Bittium Oyj's future price is the expected price of Bittium Oyj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bittium Oyj performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bittium Oyj Backtesting, Bittium Oyj Valuation, Bittium Oyj Correlation, Bittium Oyj Hype Analysis, Bittium Oyj Volatility, Bittium Oyj History as well as Bittium Oyj Performance.
  
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Bittium Oyj Target Price Odds to finish below 6.36

The tendency of Bittium Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 6.36  or more in 90 days
 6.60 90 days 6.36 
roughly 2.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bittium Oyj to drop to € 6.36  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.23 (This Bittium Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Bittium Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bittium Oyj price to stay between € 6.36  and its current price of €6.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bittium Oyj has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bittium Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bittium Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bittium Oyj has an alpha of 0.0197, implying that it can generate a 0.0197 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bittium Oyj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bittium Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bittium Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.466.608.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.896.038.17
Details

Bittium Oyj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bittium Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bittium Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bittium Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bittium Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.005

Bittium Oyj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bittium Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bittium Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bittium Oyj Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bittium Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bittium Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bittium Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.7 M

Bittium Oyj Technical Analysis

Bittium Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bittium Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bittium Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bittium Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bittium Oyj Predictive Forecast Models

Bittium Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bittium Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bittium Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bittium Oyj

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bittium Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bittium Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bittium Stock

Bittium Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bittium Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bittium with respect to the benefits of owning Bittium Oyj security.