Bluejay Diagnostics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.17
| BJDX Stock | USD 3.65 0.12 3.40% |
Bluejay |
Bluejay Diagnostics Target Price Odds to finish over 44.17
The tendency of Bluejay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 44.17 or more in 90 days |
| 3.65 | 90 days | 44.17 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bluejay Diagnostics to move over $ 44.17 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bluejay Diagnostics probability density function shows the probability of Bluejay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bluejay Diagnostics price to stay between its current price of $ 3.65 and $ 44.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bluejay Diagnostics has a beta of 0.37 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bluejay Diagnostics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bluejay Diagnostics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bluejay Diagnostics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bluejay Diagnostics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bluejay Diagnostics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bluejay Diagnostics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bluejay Diagnostics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bluejay Diagnostics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bluejay Diagnostics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bluejay Diagnostics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bluejay Diagnostics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bluejay Diagnostics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Bluejay Diagnostics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bluejay Diagnostics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bluejay Diagnostics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bluejay Diagnostics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Bluejay Diagnosticshas 568,264 shares shorted by Bluejay Diagnostics investors is about 100% of outstending shares | |
| Net Loss for the year was (9.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.91 K. | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics currently holds about 15.34 M in cash with (8.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.76. | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Acquires New Stake in Bluejay Diagnostics Inc |
Bluejay Diagnostics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bluejay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bluejay Diagnostics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bluejay Diagnostics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137.1 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Bluejay Diagnostics Technical Analysis
Bluejay Diagnostics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bluejay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bluejay Diagnostics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bluejay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bluejay Diagnostics Predictive Forecast Models
Bluejay Diagnostics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bluejay Diagnostics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bluejay Diagnostics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bluejay Diagnostics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bluejay Diagnostics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bluejay Diagnostics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bluejay Diagnostics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Bluejay Diagnosticshas 568,264 shares shorted by Bluejay Diagnostics investors is about 100% of outstending shares | |
| Net Loss for the year was (9.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.91 K. | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics currently holds about 15.34 M in cash with (8.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.76. | |
| Bluejay Diagnostics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC Acquires New Stake in Bluejay Diagnostics Inc |
Additional Tools for Bluejay Stock Analysis
When running Bluejay Diagnostics' price analysis, check to measure Bluejay Diagnostics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bluejay Diagnostics is operating at the current time. Most of Bluejay Diagnostics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bluejay Diagnostics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bluejay Diagnostics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bluejay Diagnostics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.