Bakkt Holdings Warrant Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.5
BKKT-WT Stock | 0.69 0.01 1.43% |
Bakkt |
Bakkt Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.5
The tendency of Bakkt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.50 or more in 90 days |
0.69 | 90 days | 0.50 | about 90.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bakkt Holdings to drop to 0.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.56 (This Bakkt Holdings Warrant probability density function shows the probability of Bakkt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bakkt Holdings Warrant price to stay between 0.50 and its current price of 0.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bakkt Holdings Warrant has a beta of -3.13 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Bakkt Holdings Warrant are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Bakkt Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Bakkt Holdings Warrant has an alpha of 5.9472, implying that it can generate a 5.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bakkt Holdings Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Bakkt Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bakkt Holdings Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bakkt Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bakkt Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bakkt Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bakkt Holdings Warrant, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bakkt Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Bakkt Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bakkt Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bakkt Holdings Warrant can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Bakkt Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
Bakkt Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Bakkt Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Bakkt Holdings Technical Analysis
Bakkt Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bakkt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bakkt Holdings Warrant. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bakkt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bakkt Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Bakkt Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bakkt Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bakkt Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bakkt Holdings Warrant
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bakkt Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bakkt Holdings Warrant help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bakkt Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
Bakkt Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
Bakkt Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Bakkt Stock Analysis
When running Bakkt Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Bakkt Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bakkt Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Bakkt Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bakkt Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bakkt Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bakkt Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.