Bk Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.54
| BKTI Stock | USD 38.40 6.53 20.49% |
BKTI |
BK Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 31.54
The tendency of BKTI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 31.54 in 90 days |
| 38.40 | 90 days | 31.54 | about 26.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BK Technologies to stay above $ 31.54 in 90 days from now is about 26.9 (This BK Technologies probability density function shows the probability of BKTI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BK Technologies price to stay between $ 31.54 and its current price of $38.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.68 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BK Technologies has a beta of -0.74 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BK Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BK Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BK Technologies has an alpha of 0.8059, implying that it can generate a 0.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BK Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BK Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BK Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BK Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BK Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BK Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BK Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BK Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BK Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
BK Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BK Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BK Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BK Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BK Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 74.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.1 M. | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 549 shares by Lanktree Charles T of BK Technologies at 36.31 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
BK Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BKTI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BK Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BK Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
BK Technologies Technical Analysis
BK Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BKTI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BK Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing BKTI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BK Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
BK Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many BK Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BK Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BK Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about BK Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BK Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BK Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BK Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 74.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.1 M. | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 549 shares by Lanktree Charles T of BK Technologies at 36.31 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out BK Technologies Backtesting, BK Technologies Valuation, BK Technologies Correlation, BK Technologies Hype Analysis, BK Technologies Volatility, BK Technologies History as well as BK Technologies Performance. For more detail on how to invest in BKTI Stock please use our How to Invest in BK Technologies guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BK Technologies. If investors know BKTI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BK Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.667 | Earnings Share 1.39 | Revenue Per Share 21.429 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0514 |
The market value of BK Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BKTI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BK Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BK Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BK Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BK Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BK Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BK Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BK Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.