Bangkok Life (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.59
| BLA-R Stock | THB 21.20 0.32 1.49% |
Bangkok |
Bangkok Life Target Price Odds to finish below 13.59
The tendency of Bangkok Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.59 or more in 90 days |
| 21.20 | 90 days | 13.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bangkok Life to drop to 13.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bangkok Life Assurance probability density function shows the probability of Bangkok Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bangkok Life Assurance price to stay between 13.59 and its current price of 21.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bangkok Life Assurance has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bangkok Life are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bangkok Life Assurance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bangkok Life Assurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bangkok Life Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bangkok Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bangkok Life Assurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bangkok Life Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bangkok Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bangkok Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bangkok Life Assurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bangkok Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Bangkok Life Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bangkok Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bangkok Life Assurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bangkok Life is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bangkok Life appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Bangkok Life Technical Analysis
Bangkok Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bangkok Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bangkok Life Assurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bangkok Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bangkok Life Predictive Forecast Models
Bangkok Life's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bangkok Life's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bangkok Life's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bangkok Life Assurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bangkok Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bangkok Life Assurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bangkok Life is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Bangkok Life appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in Bangkok Stock
Bangkok Life financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bangkok Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bangkok with respect to the benefits of owning Bangkok Life security.