Bemobi Mobile (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.01
| BMOB3 Stock | BRL 14.50 0.29 2.04% |
Bemobi |
Bemobi Mobile Target Price Odds to finish below 15.01
The tendency of Bemobi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 15.01 after 90 days |
| 14.50 | 90 days | 15.01 | about 69.19 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bemobi Mobile to stay under R$ 15.01 after 90 days from now is about 69.19 (This Bemobi Mobile Tech probability density function shows the probability of Bemobi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bemobi Mobile Tech price to stay between its current price of R$ 14.50 and R$ 15.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bemobi Mobile Tech has a beta of -0.14 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bemobi Mobile are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bemobi Mobile Tech is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bemobi Mobile Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bemobi Mobile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bemobi Mobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bemobi Mobile Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bemobi Mobile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bemobi Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bemobi Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bemobi Mobile Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bemobi Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Bemobi Mobile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bemobi Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bemobi Mobile Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bemobi Mobile Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bemobi Mobile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bemobi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bemobi Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bemobi Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 513.7 M |
Bemobi Mobile Technical Analysis
Bemobi Mobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bemobi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bemobi Mobile Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bemobi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bemobi Mobile Predictive Forecast Models
Bemobi Mobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bemobi Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bemobi Mobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bemobi Mobile Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bemobi Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bemobi Mobile Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bemobi Mobile Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Bemobi Stock Analysis
When running Bemobi Mobile's price analysis, check to measure Bemobi Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bemobi Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of Bemobi Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bemobi Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bemobi Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bemobi Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.