Baron New Asia Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.68
| BNAUX Fund | USD 9.23 0.00 0.00% |
Baron |
Baron New Target Price Odds to finish below 9.68
The tendency of Baron Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 9.68 after 90 days |
| 9.23 | 90 days | 9.68 | about 69.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baron New to stay under $ 9.68 after 90 days from now is about 69.55 (This Baron New Asia probability density function shows the probability of Baron Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baron New Asia price to stay between its current price of $ 9.23 and $ 9.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.7 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baron New has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baron New average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baron New Asia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baron New Asia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Baron New Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baron New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baron New Asia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baron New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Baron New Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baron New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baron New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baron New Asia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baron New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Baron New Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baron New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baron New Asia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Baron New Asia is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Baron New Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baron Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baron New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baron New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Baron New Technical Analysis
Baron New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baron Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baron New Asia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baron Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baron New Predictive Forecast Models
Baron New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baron New's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baron New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baron New Asia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baron New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baron New Asia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Baron New Asia is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Baron Mutual Fund
Baron New financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baron Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baron with respect to the benefits of owning Baron New security.
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
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