Barnes Noble Education Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.1

BNED Stock  USD 13.12  1.61  13.99%   
Barnes Noble's future price is the expected price of Barnes Noble instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Barnes Noble Education performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Barnes Noble Backtesting, Barnes Noble Valuation, Barnes Noble Correlation, Barnes Noble Hype Analysis, Barnes Noble Volatility, Barnes Noble History as well as Barnes Noble Performance.
  
At present, Barnes Noble's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 76.34, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.69. Please specify Barnes Noble's target price for which you would like Barnes Noble odds to be computed.

Barnes Noble Target Price Odds to finish below 0.1

The tendency of Barnes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.10  or more in 90 days
 13.12 90 days 0.10 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barnes Noble to drop to $ 0.10  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Barnes Noble Education probability density function shows the probability of Barnes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barnes Noble Education price to stay between $ 0.10  and its current price of $13.12 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Barnes Noble will likely underperform. Additionally Barnes Noble Education has an alpha of 0.1293, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Barnes Noble Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Barnes Noble

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barnes Noble Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barnes Noble's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.7611.3917.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.826.4512.08
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.193.503.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Barnes Noble Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barnes Noble is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barnes Noble's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barnes Noble Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barnes Noble within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Barnes Noble Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barnes Noble for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barnes Noble Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barnes Noble had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (62.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 372.76 M.
Barnes Noble Education currently holds about 9.15 M in cash with (5.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from patch.com: Grim Details Emerge In Deadly Fashion Island Daylight Robbery

Barnes Noble Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barnes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barnes Noble's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barnes Noble's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.5 M

Barnes Noble Technical Analysis

Barnes Noble's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barnes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barnes Noble Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barnes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Barnes Noble Predictive Forecast Models

Barnes Noble's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barnes Noble's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barnes Noble's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Barnes Noble Education

Checking the ongoing alerts about Barnes Noble for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barnes Noble Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Barnes Noble had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (62.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 372.76 M.
Barnes Noble Education currently holds about 9.15 M in cash with (5.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.
Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from patch.com: Grim Details Emerge In Deadly Fashion Island Daylight Robbery
When determining whether Barnes Noble Education is a strong investment it is important to analyze Barnes Noble's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Barnes Noble's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Barnes Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barnes Noble. If investors know Barnes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barnes Noble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.084
Earnings Share
(68.05)
Revenue Per Share
291.275
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
0.0061
The market value of Barnes Noble Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barnes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barnes Noble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barnes Noble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barnes Noble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barnes Noble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barnes Noble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barnes Noble is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barnes Noble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.