Bok Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 109.22
| BOKF Stock | USD 108.20 1.51 1.38% |
BOK |
BOK Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 109.22
The tendency of BOK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 109.22 after 90 days |
| 108.20 | 90 days | 109.22 | about 37.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BOK Financial to stay under $ 109.22 after 90 days from now is about 37.71 (This BOK Financial probability density function shows the probability of BOK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BOK Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 108.20 and $ 109.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BOK Financial has a beta of 0.35 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BOK Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BOK Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BOK Financial has an alpha of 0.0882, implying that it can generate a 0.0882 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BOK Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BOK Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BOK Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BOK Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BOK Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BOK Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BOK Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BOK Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
BOK Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BOK Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BOK Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BOK Financial has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 27th of November 2024 BOK Financial paid $ 0.57 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Q4 EPS Estimates for BOK Financial Decreased by DA Davidson - MarketBeat |
BOK Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BOK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BOK Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BOK Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 203.8 M |
BOK Financial Technical Analysis
BOK Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BOK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BOK Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing BOK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BOK Financial Predictive Forecast Models
BOK Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many BOK Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BOK Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BOK Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about BOK Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BOK Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BOK Financial has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 27th of November 2024 BOK Financial paid $ 0.57 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Q4 EPS Estimates for BOK Financial Decreased by DA Davidson - MarketBeat |
Check out BOK Financial Backtesting, BOK Financial Valuation, BOK Financial Correlation, BOK Financial Hype Analysis, BOK Financial Volatility, BOK Financial History as well as BOK Financial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in BOK Stock please use our How to Invest in BOK Financial guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BOK Financial. If investors know BOK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BOK Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.071 | Dividend Share 2.22 | Earnings Share 7.29 | Revenue Per Share 31.298 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 |
The market value of BOK Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BOK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BOK Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BOK Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BOK Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BOK Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BOK Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BOK Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BOK Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.