Bollore SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.81

BOL Stock  EUR 5.81  0.04  0.69%   
Bollore SA's future price is the expected price of Bollore SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bollore SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bollore SA Backtesting, Bollore SA Valuation, Bollore SA Correlation, Bollore SA Hype Analysis, Bollore SA Volatility, Bollore SA History as well as Bollore SA Performance.
  
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Bollore SA Target Price Odds to finish below 5.81

The tendency of Bollore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 5.81 90 days 5.81 
about 36.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bollore SA to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 36.45 (This Bollore SA probability density function shows the probability of Bollore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bollore SA has a beta of 0.0389 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bollore SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bollore SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bollore SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bollore SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bollore SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bollore SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.615.817.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.415.616.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.635.837.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.775.815.85
Details

Bollore SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bollore SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bollore SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bollore SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bollore SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Bollore SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bollore SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bollore SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bollore SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bollore SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bollore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bollore SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bollore SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments5.3 B

Bollore SA Technical Analysis

Bollore SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bollore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bollore SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bollore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bollore SA Predictive Forecast Models

Bollore SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bollore SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bollore SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bollore SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bollore SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bollore SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bollore SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bollore Stock

Bollore SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bollore Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bollore with respect to the benefits of owning Bollore SA security.