Bank of Punjab (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.01
| BOP Stock | 9.96 0.41 3.95% |
Bank |
Bank of Punjab Target Price Odds to finish below 9.01
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 9.01 or more in 90 days |
| 9.96 | 90 days | 9.01 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank of Punjab to drop to 9.01 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Bank of Punjab probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank of Punjab price to stay between 9.01 and its current price of 9.96 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank of Punjab has a beta of 0.56 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank of Punjab average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank of Punjab will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Bank of Punjab has an alpha of 1.005, implying that it can generate a 1.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bank of Punjab Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank of Punjab
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of Punjab. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank of Punjab Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank of Punjab is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank of Punjab's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank of Punjab, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank of Punjab within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Bank of Punjab Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank of Punjab for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank of Punjab can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank of Punjab appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bank of Punjab generates negative cash flow from operations |
Bank of Punjab Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank of Punjab's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Punjab's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.6 B |
Bank of Punjab Technical Analysis
Bank of Punjab's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank of Punjab. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank of Punjab Predictive Forecast Models
Bank of Punjab's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank of Punjab's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank of Punjab's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank of Punjab
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank of Punjab for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank of Punjab help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank of Punjab appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bank of Punjab generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Bank Stock Analysis
When running Bank of Punjab's price analysis, check to measure Bank of Punjab's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of Punjab is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of Punjab's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of Punjab's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of Punjab's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of Punjab to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.