Dutch Bros Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55.1

BROS Stock  USD 54.22  0.17  0.31%   
Dutch Bros' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Dutch Bros. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Dutch Bros based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Dutch Bros over a specific time period. For example, BROS Option Call 20-12-2024 55 is a CALL option contract on Dutch Bros' common stock with a strick price of 55.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-03 at 15:37:26 for $1.6 and, as of today, has 16 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 4th of December is 16.0. View All Dutch options

Closest to current price Dutch long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Dutch Bros' future price is the expected price of Dutch Bros instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dutch Bros performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dutch Bros Backtesting, Dutch Bros Valuation, Dutch Bros Correlation, Dutch Bros Hype Analysis, Dutch Bros Volatility, Dutch Bros History as well as Dutch Bros Performance.
For more information on how to buy Dutch Stock please use our How to Invest in Dutch Bros guide.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 1,202 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.93 in 2024. Please specify Dutch Bros' target price for which you would like Dutch Bros odds to be computed.

Dutch Bros Target Price Odds to finish over 55.1

The tendency of Dutch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 55.10  or more in 90 days
 54.22 90 days 55.10 
about 1.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dutch Bros to move over $ 55.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.44 (This Dutch Bros probability density function shows the probability of Dutch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dutch Bros price to stay between its current price of $ 54.22  and $ 55.10  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Dutch Bros has a beta of 0.99 suggesting Dutch Bros market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dutch Bros is expected to follow. Additionally Dutch Bros has an alpha of 0.8147, implying that it can generate a 0.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dutch Bros Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dutch Bros

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dutch Bros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.5656.6660.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.0547.1559.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.6152.7056.80
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.1236.4040.40
Details

Dutch Bros Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dutch Bros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dutch Bros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dutch Bros, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dutch Bros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
7.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Dutch Bros Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dutch Bros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dutch Bros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dutch Bros appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Dutch Bros currently holds 676.58 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dutch Bros has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Dutch Bros' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Dutch Bros has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 87.0% of Dutch Bros shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DRI or BROS Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now

Dutch Bros Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dutch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dutch Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dutch Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments133.5 M

Dutch Bros Technical Analysis

Dutch Bros' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dutch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dutch Bros. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dutch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dutch Bros Predictive Forecast Models

Dutch Bros' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dutch Bros' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dutch Bros' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dutch Bros

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dutch Bros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dutch Bros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dutch Bros appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Dutch Bros currently holds 676.58 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.33, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Dutch Bros has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Dutch Bros' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Dutch Bros has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 87.0% of Dutch Bros shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DRI or BROS Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now

Additional Tools for Dutch Stock Analysis

When running Dutch Bros' price analysis, check to measure Dutch Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dutch Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Dutch Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dutch Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dutch Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dutch Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.