Black Sea (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 184.67

BSP Stock  NOK 0.13  0.02  18.18%   
Black Sea's future price is the expected price of Black Sea instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Black Sea Property performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Black Sea Backtesting, Black Sea Valuation, Black Sea Correlation, Black Sea Hype Analysis, Black Sea Volatility, Black Sea History as well as Black Sea Performance.
  
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Black Sea Target Price Odds to finish over 184.67

The tendency of Black Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  184.67  or more in 90 days
 0.13 90 days 184.67 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Black Sea to move over  184.67  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Black Sea Property probability density function shows the probability of Black Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Black Sea Property price to stay between its current price of  0.13  and  184.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 11.8 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Black Sea will likely underperform. In addition to that Black Sea Property has an alpha of 5.143, implying that it can generate a 5.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Black Sea Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Black Sea

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Black Sea Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1356.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1456.64
Details

Black Sea Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Black Sea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Black Sea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Black Sea Property, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Black Sea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
5.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones11.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Black Sea Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Black Sea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Black Sea Property can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Black Sea Property is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Black Sea Property has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Black Sea Property appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Black Sea Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Black Sea Property has accumulated 30.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.75, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Black Sea Property has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Black Sea until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Black Sea's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Black Sea Property sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Black to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Black Sea's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (10.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Black Sea Property has accumulated about 1.42 M in cash with (7.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09.
Roughly 43.0% of Black Sea shares are held by company insiders

Black Sea Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Black Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Black Sea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Sea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.9 M

Black Sea Technical Analysis

Black Sea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Black Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Black Sea Property. In general, you should focus on analyzing Black Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Black Sea Predictive Forecast Models

Black Sea's time-series forecasting models is one of many Black Sea's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Black Sea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Black Sea Property

Checking the ongoing alerts about Black Sea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Black Sea Property help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Black Sea Property is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Black Sea Property has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Black Sea Property appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Black Sea Property has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Black Sea Property has accumulated 30.27 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.75, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Black Sea Property has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Black Sea until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Black Sea's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Black Sea Property sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Black to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Black Sea's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (10.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Black Sea Property has accumulated about 1.42 M in cash with (7.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09.
Roughly 43.0% of Black Sea shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Black Stock

Black Sea financial ratios help investors to determine whether Black Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Black with respect to the benefits of owning Black Sea security.