Biztech Konsulting (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

BTK Stock   0.17  0.01  6.25%   
Biztech Konsulting's future price is the expected price of Biztech Konsulting instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Biztech Konsulting SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Biztech Konsulting Backtesting, Biztech Konsulting Valuation, Biztech Konsulting Correlation, Biztech Konsulting Hype Analysis, Biztech Konsulting Volatility, Biztech Konsulting History as well as Biztech Konsulting Performance.
  
Please specify Biztech Konsulting's target price for which you would like Biztech Konsulting odds to be computed.

Biztech Konsulting Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Biztech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Biztech Konsulting to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Biztech Konsulting SA probability density function shows the probability of Biztech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Biztech Konsulting price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 0.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Biztech Konsulting SA has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Biztech Konsulting are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Biztech Konsulting SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Biztech Konsulting SA has an alpha of 0.3029, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Biztech Konsulting Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Biztech Konsulting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biztech Konsulting. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Biztech Konsulting's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.174.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.144.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.184.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.150.160.17
Details

Biztech Konsulting Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Biztech Konsulting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Biztech Konsulting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Biztech Konsulting SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Biztech Konsulting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Biztech Konsulting Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Biztech Konsulting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Biztech Konsulting can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Biztech Konsulting has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Biztech Konsulting had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Biztech Konsulting Technical Analysis

Biztech Konsulting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Biztech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Biztech Konsulting SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Biztech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Biztech Konsulting Predictive Forecast Models

Biztech Konsulting's time-series forecasting models is one of many Biztech Konsulting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Biztech Konsulting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Biztech Konsulting

Checking the ongoing alerts about Biztech Konsulting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Biztech Konsulting help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Biztech Konsulting has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Biztech Konsulting had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Biztech Stock Analysis

When running Biztech Konsulting's price analysis, check to measure Biztech Konsulting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biztech Konsulting is operating at the current time. Most of Biztech Konsulting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biztech Konsulting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biztech Konsulting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biztech Konsulting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.