Ba Ria (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11,649

BTP Stock   11,650  50.00  0.43%   
Ba Ria's future price is the expected price of Ba Ria instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ba Ria Thermal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ba Ria Backtesting, Ba Ria Valuation, Ba Ria Correlation, Ba Ria Hype Analysis, Ba Ria Volatility, Ba Ria History as well as Ba Ria Performance.
  
Please specify Ba Ria's target price for which you would like Ba Ria odds to be computed.

Ba Ria Target Price Odds to finish below 11,649

The tendency of BTP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 11,650 90 days 11,650 
about 13.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ba Ria to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 13.6 (This Ba Ria Thermal probability density function shows the probability of BTP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ba Ria Thermal has a beta of -0.032 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ba Ria are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ba Ria Thermal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ba Ria Thermal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ba Ria Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ba Ria

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ba Ria Thermal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,59911,60011,601
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,4678,46812,760
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12,09512,09512,096
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,98911,97412,959
Details

Ba Ria Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ba Ria is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ba Ria's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ba Ria Thermal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ba Ria within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
624.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Ba Ria Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ba Ria for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ba Ria Thermal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ba Ria Thermal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Ba Ria Technical Analysis

Ba Ria's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BTP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ba Ria Thermal. In general, you should focus on analyzing BTP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ba Ria Predictive Forecast Models

Ba Ria's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ba Ria's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ba Ria's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ba Ria Thermal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ba Ria for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ba Ria Thermal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ba Ria Thermal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BTP Stock

Ba Ria financial ratios help investors to determine whether BTP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BTP with respect to the benefits of owning Ba Ria security.