Buana Listya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 119.06
| BULL Stock | IDR 122.00 6.00 5.17% |
Buana |
Buana Listya Target Price Odds to finish below 119.06
The tendency of Buana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 119.06 or more in 90 days |
| 122.00 | 90 days | 119.06 | about 36.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Buana Listya to drop to 119.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.44 (This Buana Listya Tama probability density function shows the probability of Buana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Buana Listya Tama price to stay between 119.06 and its current price of 122.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Buana Listya Tama has a beta of -0.82 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Buana Listya are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Buana Listya Tama is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Buana Listya Tama has an alpha of 0.1679, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Buana Listya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Buana Listya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Buana Listya Tama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Buana Listya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Buana Listya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Buana Listya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Buana Listya Tama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Buana Listya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Buana Listya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Buana Listya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Buana Listya Tama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Buana Listya Tama had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (227.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.47 M. | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Buana Listya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Buana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Buana Listya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Buana Listya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8 M |
Buana Listya Technical Analysis
Buana Listya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Buana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Buana Listya Tama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Buana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Buana Listya Predictive Forecast Models
Buana Listya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Buana Listya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Buana Listya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Buana Listya Tama
Checking the ongoing alerts about Buana Listya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Buana Listya Tama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Buana Listya Tama had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (227.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 41.47 M. | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Buana Stock
Buana Listya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Buana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Buana with respect to the benefits of owning Buana Listya security.