Bausch Health (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.44
| BVF Stock | EUR 7.93 0.29 3.80% |
Bausch |
Bausch Health Target Price Odds to finish below 6.44
The tendency of Bausch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 6.44 or more in 90 days |
| 7.93 | 90 days | 6.44 | about 7.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bausch Health to drop to € 6.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.28 (This Bausch Health Companies probability density function shows the probability of Bausch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bausch Health Companies price to stay between € 6.44 and its current price of €7.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bausch Health Companies has a beta of -0.43 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bausch Health are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bausch Health Companies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bausch Health Companies has an alpha of 0.6452, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bausch Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bausch Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bausch Health Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bausch Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bausch Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bausch Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bausch Health Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bausch Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Bausch Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bausch Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bausch Health Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bausch Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bausch Health has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bausch Health has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (225 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.76 B. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Bausch Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bausch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bausch Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bausch Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 359.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 286 M |
Bausch Health Technical Analysis
Bausch Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bausch Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bausch Health Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bausch Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bausch Health Predictive Forecast Models
Bausch Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bausch Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bausch Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bausch Health Companies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bausch Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bausch Health Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bausch Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Bausch Health has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bausch Health has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.12 B. Net Loss for the year was (225 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.76 B. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bausch Stock
When determining whether Bausch Health Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bausch Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bausch Health Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bausch Health Companies Stock:Check out Bausch Health Backtesting, Bausch Health Valuation, Bausch Health Correlation, Bausch Health Hype Analysis, Bausch Health Volatility, Bausch Health History as well as Bausch Health Performance. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.