Babcock Wilcox Enterprises Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 14.44

BW-PA Preferred Stock  USD 14.43  0.35  2.49%   
Babcock Wilcox's future price is the expected price of Babcock Wilcox instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Babcock Wilcox Backtesting, Babcock Wilcox Valuation, Babcock Wilcox Correlation, Babcock Wilcox Hype Analysis, Babcock Wilcox Volatility, Babcock Wilcox History as well as Babcock Wilcox Performance.
  
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Babcock Wilcox Target Price Odds to finish over 14.44

The tendency of Babcock Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.44  or more in 90 days
 14.43 90 days 14.44 
about 41.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Babcock Wilcox to move over $ 14.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.93 (This Babcock Wilcox Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Babcock Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Babcock Wilcox Enter price to stay between its current price of $ 14.43  and $ 14.44  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Babcock Wilcox has a beta of 0.63 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Babcock Wilcox average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Babcock Wilcox Enterprises will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Babcock Wilcox Enterprises has an alpha of 0.024, implying that it can generate a 0.024 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Babcock Wilcox Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Babcock Wilcox

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Babcock Wilcox Enter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5514.4316.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3314.2116.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.8114.7016.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.9514.2414.53
Details

Babcock Wilcox Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Babcock Wilcox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Babcock Wilcox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Babcock Wilcox Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Babcock Wilcox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.0095

Babcock Wilcox Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Babcock Wilcox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Babcock Wilcox Enter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Babcock Wilcox Enter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 889.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 185.62 M.
Babcock Wilcox Enterprises has accumulated about 71.52 M in cash with (30.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81.

Babcock Wilcox Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Babcock Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Babcock Wilcox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Babcock Wilcox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76.7 M

Babcock Wilcox Technical Analysis

Babcock Wilcox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Babcock Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Babcock Wilcox Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Babcock Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Babcock Wilcox Predictive Forecast Models

Babcock Wilcox's time-series forecasting models is one of many Babcock Wilcox's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Babcock Wilcox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Babcock Wilcox Enter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Babcock Wilcox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Babcock Wilcox Enter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Babcock Wilcox Enter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 889.8 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 185.62 M.
Babcock Wilcox Enterprises has accumulated about 71.52 M in cash with (30.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81.

Other Information on Investing in Babcock Preferred Stock

Babcock Wilcox financial ratios help investors to determine whether Babcock Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Babcock with respect to the benefits of owning Babcock Wilcox security.