Broadwind Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| BWEN Stock | USD 1.75 0.05 2.78% |
Broadwind |
Broadwind Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Broadwind Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 1.75 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Broadwind Energy to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Broadwind Energy probability density function shows the probability of Broadwind Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Broadwind Energy price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $1.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Broadwind Energy has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Broadwind Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Broadwind Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Broadwind Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Broadwind Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Broadwind Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Broadwind Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Broadwind Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Broadwind Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Broadwind Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Broadwind Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Broadwind Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Broadwind Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Broadwind Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Broadwind Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Broadwind Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Broadwind Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Broadwind Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Broadwind Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Broadwind Energy currently holds about 49 K in cash with (6.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Broadwind, Inc. Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 25 |
Broadwind Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Broadwind Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Broadwind Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Broadwind Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Broadwind Energy Technical Analysis
Broadwind Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Broadwind Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Broadwind Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Broadwind Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Broadwind Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Broadwind Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Broadwind Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Broadwind Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Broadwind Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Broadwind Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Broadwind Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Broadwind Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Broadwind Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Broadwind Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Broadwind Energy currently holds about 49 K in cash with (6.95 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Broadwind, Inc. Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 25 |
Check out Broadwind Energy Backtesting, Broadwind Energy Valuation, Broadwind Energy Correlation, Broadwind Energy Hype Analysis, Broadwind Energy Volatility, Broadwind Energy History as well as Broadwind Energy Performance. To learn how to invest in Broadwind Stock, please use our How to Invest in Broadwind Energy guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Heavy Electrical Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Broadwind Energy. If investors know Broadwind will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Broadwind Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 16.667 | Earnings Share 0.14 | Revenue Per Share 8.255 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.35) | Return On Assets 0.0491 |
The market value of Broadwind Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Broadwind that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Broadwind Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Broadwind Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Broadwind Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Broadwind Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Broadwind Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Broadwind Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Broadwind Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.