BW LPG Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 13.92

BWLLYDelisted Stock  USD 15.54  0.02  0.13%   
BW LPG's future price is the expected price of BW LPG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BW LPG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
  
Please specify BW LPG's target price for which you would like BW LPG odds to be computed.

BW LPG Target Price Odds to finish below 13.92

The tendency of BWLLY Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 13.92  or more in 90 days
 15.54 90 days 13.92 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BW LPG to drop to $ 13.92  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This BW LPG probability density function shows the probability of BWLLY Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BW LPG price to stay between $ 13.92  and its current price of $15.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BW LPG has a beta of 0.95 suggesting BW LPG market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, BW LPG is expected to follow. Additionally BW LPG has an alpha of 0.1931, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BW LPG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BW LPG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BW LPG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5415.5415.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4214.4217.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8114.8114.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0817.1620.24
Details

BW LPG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BW LPG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BW LPG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BW LPG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BW LPG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

BW LPG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BW LPG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BW LPG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BW LPG is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
BW LPG has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

BW LPG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BWLLY Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BW LPG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BW LPG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding136.9 M

BW LPG Technical Analysis

BW LPG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BWLLY Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BW LPG. In general, you should focus on analyzing BWLLY Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BW LPG Predictive Forecast Models

BW LPG's time-series forecasting models is one of many BW LPG's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BW LPG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BW LPG

Checking the ongoing alerts about BW LPG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BW LPG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BW LPG is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
BW LPG has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Other Consideration for investing in BWLLY Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in BW LPG check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the BW LPG's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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