Boyd Gaming Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 69.38
| BYD Stock | USD 74.95 0.51 0.69% |
Boyd |
Boyd Gaming Target Price Odds to finish below 69.38
The tendency of Boyd Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 69.38 or more in 90 days |
| 74.95 | 90 days | 69.38 | about 57.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boyd Gaming to drop to $ 69.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.04 (This Boyd Gaming probability density function shows the probability of Boyd Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Boyd Gaming price to stay between $ 69.38 and its current price of $74.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.88 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Boyd Gaming has a beta of 0.86 suggesting Boyd Gaming market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Boyd Gaming is expected to follow. Additionally Boyd Gaming has an alpha of 0.2649, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Boyd Gaming Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Boyd Gaming
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boyd Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Boyd Gaming's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Boyd Gaming Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boyd Gaming is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boyd Gaming's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boyd Gaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boyd Gaming within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.86 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Boyd Gaming Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boyd Gaming for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boyd Gaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Boyd Gaming has 3.73 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.42, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Boyd Gaming has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Boyd to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 71.0% of Boyd Gaming shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: RCI Hospitality Holdings to Report Q4 Earnings Whats in Store |
Boyd Gaming Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boyd Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boyd Gaming's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boyd Gaming's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 304.3 M |
Boyd Gaming Technical Analysis
Boyd Gaming's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Boyd Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Boyd Gaming. In general, you should focus on analyzing Boyd Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Boyd Gaming Predictive Forecast Models
Boyd Gaming's time-series forecasting models is one of many Boyd Gaming's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Boyd Gaming's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Boyd Gaming
Checking the ongoing alerts about Boyd Gaming for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Boyd Gaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Boyd Gaming has 3.73 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.42, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Boyd Gaming has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Boyd to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 71.0% of Boyd Gaming shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: RCI Hospitality Holdings to Report Q4 Earnings Whats in Store |
Check out Boyd Gaming Backtesting, Boyd Gaming Valuation, Boyd Gaming Correlation, Boyd Gaming Hype Analysis, Boyd Gaming Volatility, Boyd Gaming History as well as Boyd Gaming Performance. For information on how to trade Boyd Stock refer to our How to Trade Boyd Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Boyd Gaming. If investors know Boyd will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Boyd Gaming listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.065 | Dividend Share 0.67 | Earnings Share 5.26 | Revenue Per Share 40.123 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.064 |
The market value of Boyd Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Boyd that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Boyd Gaming's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Boyd Gaming's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Boyd Gaming's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Boyd Gaming's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Boyd Gaming's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Boyd Gaming is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Boyd Gaming's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.