Casio Computer (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.18
| CAC1 Stock | EUR 7.38 0.27 3.80% |
Casio |
Casio Computer Target Price Odds to finish below 7.18
The tendency of Casio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 7.18 or more in 90 days |
| 7.38 | 90 days | 7.18 | about 71.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Casio Computer to drop to € 7.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.7 (This Casio Computer CoLtd probability density function shows the probability of Casio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Casio Computer CoLtd price to stay between € 7.18 and its current price of €7.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Casio Computer CoLtd has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Casio Computer are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Casio Computer CoLtd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Casio Computer CoLtd has an alpha of 0.0837, implying that it can generate a 0.0837 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Casio Computer Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Casio Computer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Casio Computer CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Casio Computer Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Casio Computer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Casio Computer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Casio Computer CoLtd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Casio Computer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Casio Computer Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Casio Computer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Casio Computer CoLtd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Casio Computer Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Casio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Casio Computer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Casio Computer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 240.8 M |
Casio Computer Technical Analysis
Casio Computer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Casio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Casio Computer CoLtd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Casio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Casio Computer Predictive Forecast Models
Casio Computer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Casio Computer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Casio Computer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Casio Computer CoLtd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Casio Computer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Casio Computer CoLtd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Casio Stock
Casio Computer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Casio Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Casio with respect to the benefits of owning Casio Computer security.