Caf Serendipity Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.0E-4

CAFS Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Caf Serendipity's future price is the expected price of Caf Serendipity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Caf Serendipity Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Caf Serendipity Backtesting, Caf Serendipity Valuation, Caf Serendipity Correlation, Caf Serendipity Hype Analysis, Caf Serendipity Volatility, Caf Serendipity History as well as Caf Serendipity Performance.
  
Please specify Caf Serendipity's target price for which you would like Caf Serendipity odds to be computed.

Caf Serendipity Target Price Odds to finish over 2.0E-4

The tendency of Caf Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 0.0002 
about 77.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caf Serendipity to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.15 (This Caf Serendipity Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Caf Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Caf Serendipity Holdings has a beta of -2.88 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Caf Serendipity Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Caf Serendipity is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Caf Serendipity Holdings has an alpha of 0.401, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Caf Serendipity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Caf Serendipity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caf Serendipity Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000216.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000216.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000030.000216.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00020.0002
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Caf Serendipity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Caf Serendipity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Caf Serendipity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Caf Serendipity Holdings.

Caf Serendipity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caf Serendipity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caf Serendipity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caf Serendipity Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caf Serendipity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.88
σ
Overall volatility
0.0004
Ir
Information ratio 0

Caf Serendipity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caf Serendipity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caf Serendipity Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caf Serendipity had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Caf Serendipity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Caf Serendipity has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Caf Serendipity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caf Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caf Serendipity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caf Serendipity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Long Term Debt1.4 M

Caf Serendipity Technical Analysis

Caf Serendipity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caf Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caf Serendipity Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caf Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Caf Serendipity Predictive Forecast Models

Caf Serendipity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Caf Serendipity's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caf Serendipity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Caf Serendipity Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Caf Serendipity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caf Serendipity Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caf Serendipity had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Caf Serendipity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Caf Serendipity has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Additional Tools for Caf Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Caf Serendipity's price analysis, check to measure Caf Serendipity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caf Serendipity is operating at the current time. Most of Caf Serendipity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caf Serendipity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caf Serendipity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caf Serendipity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.