Carlson Investments (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.37
| CAI Stock | 4.47 0.02 0.45% |
Carlson |
Carlson Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 4.37
The tendency of Carlson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.37 or more in 90 days |
| 4.47 | 90 days | 4.37 | about 29.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carlson Investments to drop to 4.37 or more in 90 days from now is about 29.28 (This Carlson Investments SA probability density function shows the probability of Carlson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carlson Investments price to stay between 4.37 and its current price of 4.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Carlson Investments SA has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Carlson Investments are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Carlson Investments SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Carlson Investments SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Carlson Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carlson Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlson Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carlson Investments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Carlson Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carlson Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carlson Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carlson Investments SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carlson Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Carlson Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carlson Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carlson Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carlson Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Carlson Investments has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Carlson Investments has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Carlson Investments generates negative cash flow from operations |
Carlson Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carlson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carlson Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlson Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 55.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Carlson Investments Technical Analysis
Carlson Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carlson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carlson Investments SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carlson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carlson Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Carlson Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Carlson Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carlson Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carlson Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carlson Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carlson Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Carlson Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Carlson Investments has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Carlson Investments has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Carlson Investments generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for Carlson Stock Analysis
When running Carlson Investments' price analysis, check to measure Carlson Investments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlson Investments is operating at the current time. Most of Carlson Investments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlson Investments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlson Investments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlson Investments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.