The Cheesecake Factory Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 58.68
| CAKE Stock | USD 48.07 0.60 1.26% |
Cheesecake |
Cheesecake Factory Target Price Odds to finish over 58.68
The tendency of Cheesecake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 58.68 or more in 90 days |
| 48.07 | 90 days | 58.68 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheesecake Factory to move over $ 58.68 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Cheesecake Factory probability density function shows the probability of Cheesecake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of The Cheesecake Factory price to stay between its current price of $ 48.07 and $ 58.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cheesecake Factory will likely underperform. Additionally The Cheesecake Factory has an alpha of 0.2766, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cheesecake Factory Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cheesecake Factory
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Cheesecake Factory. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cheesecake Factory Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheesecake Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheesecake Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Cheesecake Factory, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheesecake Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Cheesecake Factory Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheesecake Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for The Cheesecake Factory can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The Cheesecake Factory currently holds 1.86 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The Cheesecake Factory has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cheesecake Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of Cheesecake Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 26th of November 2024 Cheesecake Factory paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Earnings grew faster than the respectable 37 percent return delivered to Cheesecake Factory shareholders over the last year |
Cheesecake Factory Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheesecake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheesecake Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheesecake Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.3 M |
Cheesecake Factory Technical Analysis
Cheesecake Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheesecake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Cheesecake Factory. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheesecake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cheesecake Factory Predictive Forecast Models
Cheesecake Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheesecake Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheesecake Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about The Cheesecake Factory
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheesecake Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for The Cheesecake Factory help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The Cheesecake Factory currently holds 1.86 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The Cheesecake Factory has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cheesecake Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of Cheesecake Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 26th of November 2024 Cheesecake Factory paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Earnings grew faster than the respectable 37 percent return delivered to Cheesecake Factory shareholders over the last year |
Check out Cheesecake Factory Backtesting, Cheesecake Factory Valuation, Cheesecake Factory Correlation, Cheesecake Factory Hype Analysis, Cheesecake Factory Volatility, Cheesecake Factory History as well as Cheesecake Factory Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheesecake Factory. If investors know Cheesecake will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheesecake Factory listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.649 | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share 2.64 | Revenue Per Share 74.077 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.042 |
The market value of The Cheesecake Factory is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheesecake that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheesecake Factory's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheesecake Factory's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheesecake Factory's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheesecake Factory's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheesecake Factory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheesecake Factory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheesecake Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.