Cantabil Retail (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 228.23
| CANTABIL | 245.29 6.31 2.64% |
Cantabil |
Cantabil Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 228.23
The tendency of Cantabil Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 228.23 or more in 90 days |
| 245.29 | 90 days | 228.23 | about 24.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cantabil Retail to drop to 228.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.95 (This Cantabil Retail India probability density function shows the probability of Cantabil Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cantabil Retail India price to stay between 228.23 and its current price of 245.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cantabil Retail has a beta of 0.37 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cantabil Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cantabil Retail India will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cantabil Retail India has an alpha of 0.0099, implying that it can generate a 0.009855 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cantabil Retail Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cantabil Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cantabil Retail India. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cantabil Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cantabil Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cantabil Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cantabil Retail India, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cantabil Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Cantabil Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cantabil Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cantabil Retail India can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cantabil Retail is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cantabil Retail Standalone September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 151.20 crore, up 11.91 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Cantabil Retail Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cantabil Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cantabil Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cantabil Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 351.3 M |
Cantabil Retail Technical Analysis
Cantabil Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cantabil Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cantabil Retail India. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cantabil Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cantabil Retail Predictive Forecast Models
Cantabil Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cantabil Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cantabil Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cantabil Retail India
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cantabil Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cantabil Retail India help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cantabil Retail is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Cantabil Retail Standalone September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 151.20 crore, up 11.91 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Other Information on Investing in Cantabil Stock
Cantabil Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cantabil Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cantabil with respect to the benefits of owning Cantabil Retail security.