Chubb Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 304.75
| CB Stock | USD 275.56 0.96 0.35% |
Closest to current price Chubb long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Chubb |
Chubb Target Price Odds to finish over 304.75
The tendency of Chubb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 304.75 or more in 90 days |
| 275.56 | 90 days | 304.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chubb to move over $ 304.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Chubb probability density function shows the probability of Chubb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chubb price to stay between its current price of $ 275.56 and $ 304.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Chubb has a beta of 0.63 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chubb average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chubb will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chubb has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chubb Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chubb
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chubb. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chubb Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chubb is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chubb's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chubb, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chubb within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Chubb Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chubb for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chubb can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chubb generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chubb reports 14.49 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Chubb has a current ratio of 0.36, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Chubb to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 84.0% of Chubb shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from apnews.com: Jets are sticking with Aaron Rodgers at QB, and Dolphins cant wait to finally face him |
Chubb Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chubb Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chubb's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chubb's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 414.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
Chubb Technical Analysis
Chubb's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chubb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chubb. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chubb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chubb Predictive Forecast Models
Chubb's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chubb's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chubb's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chubb
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chubb for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chubb help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chubb generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Chubb reports 14.49 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.43, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Chubb has a current ratio of 0.36, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Chubb to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 84.0% of Chubb shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from apnews.com: Jets are sticking with Aaron Rodgers at QB, and Dolphins cant wait to finally face him |
Check out Chubb Backtesting, Chubb Valuation, Chubb Correlation, Chubb Hype Analysis, Chubb Volatility, Chubb History as well as Chubb Performance. For information on how to trade Chubb Stock refer to our How to Trade Chubb Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chubb. If investors know Chubb will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chubb listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.152 | Dividend Share 3.54 | Earnings Share 24.38 | Revenue Per Share 134.95 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 |
The market value of Chubb is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chubb that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chubb's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chubb's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chubb's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chubb's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chubb's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chubb is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chubb's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.