Cbl Associates Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.37
| CBL Stock | USD 29.75 0.49 1.62% |
CBL |
CBL Associates Target Price Odds to finish below 25.37
The tendency of CBL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 25.37 or more in 90 days |
| 29.75 | 90 days | 25.37 | about 17.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CBL Associates to drop to $ 25.37 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.66 (This CBL Associates Properties probability density function shows the probability of CBL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CBL Associates Properties price to stay between $ 25.37 and its current price of $29.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.25 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CBL Associates has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CBL Associates average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CBL Associates Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CBL Associates Properties has an alpha of 0.2882, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CBL Associates Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CBL Associates
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CBL Associates Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CBL Associates Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CBL Associates is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CBL Associates' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CBL Associates Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CBL Associates within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
CBL Associates Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CBL Associates for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CBL Associates Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Jeffery Curry of CBL Associates at 29.86 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
CBL Associates Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CBL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CBL Associates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CBL Associates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 123.1 M |
CBL Associates Technical Analysis
CBL Associates' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CBL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CBL Associates Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing CBL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CBL Associates Predictive Forecast Models
CBL Associates' time-series forecasting models is one of many CBL Associates' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CBL Associates' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CBL Associates Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about CBL Associates for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CBL Associates Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Jeffery Curry of CBL Associates at 29.86 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out CBL Associates Backtesting, CBL Associates Valuation, CBL Associates Correlation, CBL Associates Hype Analysis, CBL Associates Volatility, CBL Associates History as well as CBL Associates Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CBL Associates. If investors know CBL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CBL Associates listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.258 | Dividend Share 1.575 | Earnings Share 0.92 | Revenue Per Share 16.79 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of CBL Associates Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CBL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CBL Associates' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CBL Associates' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CBL Associates' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CBL Associates' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CBL Associates' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CBL Associates is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CBL Associates' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.