Citizens Bancorp Investment Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 36.17
| CBTN Stock | USD 25.55 0.45 1.73% |
Citizens |
Citizens Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 36.17
The tendency of Citizens OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 36.17 or more in 90 days |
| 25.55 | 90 days | 36.17 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citizens Bancorp to move over $ 36.17 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Citizens Bancorp Investment probability density function shows the probability of Citizens OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Citizens Bancorp Inv price to stay between its current price of $ 25.55 and $ 36.17 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Citizens Bancorp has a beta of 0.0555 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Citizens Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Citizens Bancorp Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citizens Bancorp Investment has an alpha of 0.1375, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Citizens Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Citizens Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens Bancorp Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citizens Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citizens Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citizens Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citizens Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citizens Bancorp Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citizens Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Citizens Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citizens OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citizens Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citizens Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M |
Citizens Bancorp Technical Analysis
Citizens Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citizens OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citizens Bancorp Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citizens OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Citizens Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Citizens Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Citizens Bancorp's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citizens Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Citizens Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Citizens Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Citizens Bancorp options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Citizens OTC Stock
Citizens Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citizens OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citizens with respect to the benefits of owning Citizens Bancorp security.