Compania Cervecerias Unidas Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.84
| CCU Stock | USD 11.58 0.02 0.17% |
Compania |
Compania Cervecerias Target Price Odds to finish below 7.84
The tendency of Compania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.84 or more in 90 days |
| 11.58 | 90 days | 7.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compania Cervecerias to drop to $ 7.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Compania Cervecerias Unidas probability density function shows the probability of Compania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compania Cervecerias price to stay between $ 7.84 and its current price of $11.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Compania Cervecerias Unidas has a beta of -0.0134 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Compania Cervecerias are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Compania Cervecerias Unidas is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Compania Cervecerias Unidas has an alpha of 0.1477, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Compania Cervecerias Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Compania Cervecerias
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania Cervecerias. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compania Cervecerias' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Compania Cervecerias Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compania Cervecerias is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compania Cervecerias' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compania Cervecerias Unidas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compania Cervecerias within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Compania Cervecerias Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compania Cervecerias for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compania Cervecerias can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Compania Cervecerias generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 7833 shares by Mccombs B J of Compania Cervecerias at 44.9507 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Compania Cervecerias Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compania Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compania Cervecerias' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compania Cervecerias' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 369.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 621.5 B |
Compania Cervecerias Technical Analysis
Compania Cervecerias' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compania Cervecerias Unidas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Compania Cervecerias Predictive Forecast Models
Compania Cervecerias' time-series forecasting models is one of many Compania Cervecerias' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compania Cervecerias' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Compania Cervecerias
Checking the ongoing alerts about Compania Cervecerias for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compania Cervecerias help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Compania Cervecerias generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 7833 shares by Mccombs B J of Compania Cervecerias at 44.9507 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Compania Stock Analysis
When running Compania Cervecerias' price analysis, check to measure Compania Cervecerias' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compania Cervecerias is operating at the current time. Most of Compania Cervecerias' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compania Cervecerias' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compania Cervecerias' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compania Cervecerias to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.