Copt Defense Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.23
| CDP Stock | 31.11 0.45 1.47% |
COPT |
COPT Defense Target Price Odds to finish below 18.23
The tendency of COPT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 18.23 or more in 90 days |
| 31.11 | 90 days | 18.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COPT Defense to drop to 18.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This COPT Defense Properties probability density function shows the probability of COPT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COPT Defense Properties price to stay between 18.23 and its current price of 31.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon COPT Defense has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, COPT Defense average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COPT Defense Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally COPT Defense Properties has an alpha of 0.004, implying that it can generate a 0.003954 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). COPT Defense Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for COPT Defense
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COPT Defense Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of COPT Defense's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
COPT Defense Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COPT Defense is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COPT Defense's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COPT Defense Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COPT Defense within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0077 |
COPT Defense Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COPT Defense for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COPT Defense Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| COPT Defense has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 684.98 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (73.47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 363.38 M. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fullpath and CallRevu Announce Strategic Integration to Drive Deeper Customer Insights and Smarter Dealership Marketing |
COPT Defense Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of COPT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential COPT Defense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COPT Defense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 167.8 M |
COPT Defense Technical Analysis
COPT Defense's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COPT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COPT Defense Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing COPT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COPT Defense Predictive Forecast Models
COPT Defense's time-series forecasting models is one of many COPT Defense's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COPT Defense's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about COPT Defense Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about COPT Defense for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COPT Defense Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| COPT Defense has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 684.98 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (73.47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 363.38 M. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fullpath and CallRevu Announce Strategic Integration to Drive Deeper Customer Insights and Smarter Dealership Marketing |
Additional Tools for COPT Stock Analysis
When running COPT Defense's price analysis, check to measure COPT Defense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COPT Defense is operating at the current time. Most of COPT Defense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COPT Defense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COPT Defense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COPT Defense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.