Enel Generacion (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 470.25
| CECO2 Stock | ARS 478.00 6.00 1.27% |
Enel |
Enel Generacion Target Price Odds to finish over 470.25
The tendency of Enel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 470.25 in 90 days |
| 478.00 | 90 days | 470.25 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enel Generacion to stay above 470.25 in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Enel Generacion Costanera probability density function shows the probability of Enel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enel Generacion Costanera price to stay between 470.25 and its current price of 478.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Enel Generacion Costanera has a beta of -0.51 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Enel Generacion are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Enel Generacion Costanera is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Enel Generacion Costanera has an alpha of 0.6639, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Enel Generacion Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Enel Generacion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enel Generacion Costanera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Enel Generacion Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enel Generacion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enel Generacion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enel Generacion Costanera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enel Generacion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 64.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Enel Generacion Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enel Generacion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enel Generacion Costanera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 3.72 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Enel Generacion Costanera has accumulated 3.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 65.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Enel Generacion Costanera has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Enel Generacion until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Enel Generacion's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Enel Generacion Costanera sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Enel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Enel Generacion's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 10.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.98 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 199.52 M. | |
| About 76.0% of Enel Generacion shares are held by company insiders |
Enel Generacion Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enel Generacion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enel Generacion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 702 M |
Enel Generacion Technical Analysis
Enel Generacion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enel Generacion Costanera. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Enel Generacion Predictive Forecast Models
Enel Generacion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enel Generacion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enel Generacion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Enel Generacion Costanera
Checking the ongoing alerts about Enel Generacion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enel Generacion Costanera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 3.72 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Enel Generacion Costanera has accumulated 3.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 65.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Enel Generacion Costanera has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Enel Generacion until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Enel Generacion's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Enel Generacion Costanera sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Enel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Enel Generacion's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 10.52 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.98 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 199.52 M. | |
| About 76.0% of Enel Generacion shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Enel Stock
Enel Generacion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enel with respect to the benefits of owning Enel Generacion security.