Capital Engineering (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.21

CEN Stock  THB 2.00  0.00  0.00%   
Capital Engineering's future price is the expected price of Capital Engineering instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital Engineering Network performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital Engineering Backtesting, Capital Engineering Valuation, Capital Engineering Correlation, Capital Engineering Hype Analysis, Capital Engineering Volatility, Capital Engineering History as well as Capital Engineering Performance.
  
Please specify Capital Engineering's target price for which you would like Capital Engineering odds to be computed.

Capital Engineering Target Price Odds to finish over 4.21

The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.21  or more in 90 days
 2.00 90 days 4.21 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Engineering to move over  4.21  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Capital Engineering Network probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Engineering price to stay between its current price of  2.00  and  4.21  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital Engineering Network has a beta of -0.0852 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Capital Engineering are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Capital Engineering Network is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Capital Engineering Network has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Capital Engineering Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Engineering

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Engineering. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.292.002.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.101.812.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.312.022.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.992.002.01
Details

Capital Engineering Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Engineering is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Engineering's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Engineering Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Engineering within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Capital Engineering Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Engineering for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Engineering can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Engineering Network has accumulated about 1.53 B in cash with (240.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.05, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Capital Engineering Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding745.1 M

Capital Engineering Technical Analysis

Capital Engineering's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Engineering Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital Engineering Predictive Forecast Models

Capital Engineering's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Engineering's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Engineering's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital Engineering

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Engineering for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Engineering help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Capital Engineering generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Capital Engineering Network has accumulated about 1.53 B in cash with (240.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.05, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Capital Stock

Capital Engineering financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital Engineering security.