Compagnie Financiere (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 143.45

CFT Stock  CHF 169.00  1.00  0.60%   
Compagnie Financiere's future price is the expected price of Compagnie Financiere instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compagnie Financiere Tradition performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compagnie Financiere Backtesting, Compagnie Financiere Valuation, Compagnie Financiere Correlation, Compagnie Financiere Hype Analysis, Compagnie Financiere Volatility, Compagnie Financiere History as well as Compagnie Financiere Performance.
  
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Compagnie Financiere Target Price Odds to finish below 143.45

The tendency of Compagnie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 143.45  or more in 90 days
 169.00 90 days 143.45 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compagnie Financiere to drop to ₣ 143.45  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Compagnie Financiere Tradition probability density function shows the probability of Compagnie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compagnie Financiere price to stay between ₣ 143.45  and its current price of ₣169.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compagnie Financiere has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Compagnie Financiere average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compagnie Financiere Tradition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compagnie Financiere Tradition has an alpha of 0.1358, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compagnie Financiere Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Financiere

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Financiere. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
166.98168.00169.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
140.10141.12184.80
Details

Compagnie Financiere Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compagnie Financiere is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compagnie Financiere's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compagnie Financiere Tradition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compagnie Financiere within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
4.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Compagnie Financiere Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compagnie Financiere for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compagnie Financiere can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Compagnie Financiere Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compagnie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compagnie Financiere's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compagnie Financiere's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments391 M

Compagnie Financiere Technical Analysis

Compagnie Financiere's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compagnie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compagnie Financiere Tradition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compagnie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compagnie Financiere Predictive Forecast Models

Compagnie Financiere's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compagnie Financiere's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compagnie Financiere's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compagnie Financiere

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compagnie Financiere for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compagnie Financiere help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Compagnie Stock Analysis

When running Compagnie Financiere's price analysis, check to measure Compagnie Financiere's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compagnie Financiere is operating at the current time. Most of Compagnie Financiere's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compagnie Financiere's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compagnie Financiere's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compagnie Financiere to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.