Calamos Global Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.92

CGEOX Fund  USD 19.29  0.06  0.31%   
Calamos Global's future price is the expected price of Calamos Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calamos Global Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calamos Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Global Correlation, Calamos Global Hype Analysis, Calamos Global Volatility, Calamos Global History as well as Calamos Global Performance.
  
Please specify Calamos Global's target price for which you would like Calamos Global odds to be computed.

Calamos Global Target Price Odds to finish over 15.92

The tendency of Calamos Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 15.92  in 90 days
 19.29 90 days 15.92 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Global to stay above $ 15.92  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Calamos Global Equity probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Global Equity price to stay between $ 15.92  and its current price of $19.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calamos Global has a beta of 0.69 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calamos Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calamos Global Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calamos Global Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Calamos Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calamos Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Global Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4819.2920.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5019.3120.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0018.8219.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.1319.7120.29
Details

Calamos Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Global Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0046
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Calamos Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos Global Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Calamos Global Technical Analysis

Calamos Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Global Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calamos Global Predictive Forecast Models

Calamos Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calamos Global Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos Global Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 97.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Calamos Mutual Fund

Calamos Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Calamos Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Calamos with respect to the benefits of owning Calamos Global security.
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