Columbia Growth 529 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 62.13
| CGSEX Fund | USD 62.13 0.44 0.71% |
Columbia |
Columbia Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 62.13
The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 62.13 | 90 days | 62.13 | about 58.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Growth to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 58.4 (This Columbia Growth 529 probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Growth has a beta of 0.59 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Columbia Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Growth 529 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia Growth 529 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Columbia Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Columbia Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Growth 529. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Columbia Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Growth 529, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0022 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Columbia Growth Technical Analysis
Columbia Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Growth 529. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Columbia Growth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Columbia Growth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Columbia Growth options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund
Columbia Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Growth security.
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